Napoleon Boat rides

What are the chances?  Flip on the radio to NPR in my car and hear a commentator: “well we are certainly not expecting something like a roller coaster with Josephine at the back”—and  I thought, they cannot be talking about Napoleanland.  But they are! And today, Feb 18. is an important reenactment of a battle, and also the deadline for the proposal for this theme park!  So there may yet be a boat ride to Elba…we’ll see.*

http://www.yvesjego.com/actualite-un-parc-napoleon-a-la-conquete-du-pays-de-mickey.html

*Readers wondering at the Elba connection might start at the beginning—the metaphor of the frequentist in exile (when it comes to statistical foundations).

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Distortions in the Court? (PhilStock Feb 8)

Anyone who trades in biotech stocks knows that the slightest piece of news, rumors of successful /unsuccessful drug trials, upcoming FDA panels, anecdotal side effects, and much, much else, can radically alter a stock price in the space of a few hours.  Pre-market, for example, websites are busy disseminating bits of information garnered from anywhere and everywhere, helping to pump or dump biotechs.  I think just about every small biotech stock I’ve ever traded has been involved in some kind of lawsuit regarding what the company should have told shareholders during earnings.  (Most don’t go very far.)  If you ever visit the FDA page, you can find every drug/medical device coming up for considerations, recent letters to the company etc., etc. Continue reading

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Men & their Peacock Tails

Scientific Study: Men Grow Peacock Tails Around Attractive women:

Am I the only one who occasionally feels that when an ordinary phenomenon, familiar to most women, becomes the focus of a “rigorous scientific” study like this that the whole dynamics is converted in a distorted, unflattering and rather (pea)cockamamie light?

Men put on their best behaviour when attractive ladies are close by. When the scenario is reversed however, the behaviour of women remains the same. These findings are published today, 2 February 2012, in the British Psychological Society’s British Journal of Psychology via the Wiley Online Library.

The research, which also found that the number of kind and selfless acts by men corresponded to the attractiveness of ladies, was undertaken by Dr Wendy Iredale of Sheffield Hallam University and Mark Van Vugt of the VU University in Amsterdam and the University of Oxford. Continue reading

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Meta-MetaBlog: Goedel’s Blog (G) (a little puzzle)

Dear Reader:

I was scanning the blogosphere late one night last week, amazed at the humongous number of blogs, each blog listing other blogs on their blogrolls; and upon searching items in the blogroll, one is led to still other blogs, with yet more blogs listed on blogrolls* with little repetition.  It is pretty overwhelming.  Do people manage to read this stuff?  I mean, the current blog is a niche audience, but most of the others I saw  pretty much review the same current events (with slightly different spins): Romney, Superbowl, Facebook IPO, Planned Parenthood, too much snow in UK, Shieldcroc.  One blog included on its blogroll list a blog named “There’s At least One Blog That Nobody Reads,” which I obviously didn’t read.

Studying the blogrolls I noticed that occasionally, perhaps in error, a blog would actually list itself in its own blogroll.  Those self-referring blogs were rare though (not that my search was exhaustive, though it was exhausting.)

Always on the look-out for just such a phenomenon (if only to show students it can really happen), I immediately got the idea to start a blog, call it Goedel’s Blog (G), that would list, on its blogroll, all blogs that do not list themselves on their blogrolls (say as of a fixed date).  Any blog that does mention itself on its Continue reading

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MetaBlog: Elba grease recipe

Dear Reader:

The new blog still has a number of unfinished elements; key words and some photos from blogspot are still making their way over here (given all the boxes we received, I’m surprised they’re not all here).  You can always go back to errorstatistics.blogspot.com to look something up.

I will continue with the philo of statistics agenda, but intersperse with lighter topics that arise.  Now that there are more than a few posts, I think we must group those on philo of stat each month so that they are by themselves.  I spoze “PhilStock” should be its own page.  (Of course what everyone is talking about is the Facebook IPO and whether it will do as well or badly as a bunch of other related IPOs: Zynga, Groupon, Linked-In, Renren.  I never use Facebook, so I haven’t a clue (comment if you have thoughts). ) Continue reading

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Reflections on the Blog Paradigm Change

Dear Reader: (Wed. noon):  Well we’ve moved, in the sort of piecemeal, unsettled manner that I suppose the error statistical philosophy favors: take the leap first, then be compelled to adjust by trial and error stress tests afterward.  As with all such progressive changes, while some of the old problems are solved, new and deeper problems appear; things that were easy to explain in the old paradigm are no longer explicable (as of yet), and some activities that were problem-free and predictable before, are now filled with puzzles and uncertainties.*I’m not throwing out this glorious old typing machine just yet however…it still serves in some areas as a kind of limiting case, and standard, when the exactitude of the new paradigm is scarcely needed.  Well, we’re stuck here now, no switching back you know once one has converted (though I may yet sneak back there from time to time)…Taking a day off to unpack all those boxes that the moving people brought over to errorstatistics.com this morning.

Best, Mayo

*Example, look at how I cannot seem to wrap the text around the picture—a trivially easy feat, 95% reliable, on the old paradigm; posting pictures is, again, fraught with novel problems.  Granted some of the most pervasive anomalies in the old paradigm  are now avoided…But at this point, I honestly cannot predict that this shift won’t turn out to be a degenerating one!

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Napoleonland: Oh My!

If this is real, I’m going.  I mean, a ski run through a battlefield “surrounded by the frozen bodies of soldiers and horses” and a recreation of Louis XVI being guillotined?  I expect they will also have a scary ride called, “Exile to Elba”.  I wonder what that might be like?  Just think of what they might sell at the giftshop.

Napoleonland”, the brainchild of former French minister and history buff Yves Jégo, is being touted as a rival to Disneyland – assuming, that is, it can gather the £180 million needed to leave the drawing board. Continue reading

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Overheard on the Ogosphere

 In response to Christian Robert’s remark that the journal name Rationality,Markets and Morals (RMM)  is “a rather weird combination, esp. for a journal name!” (in his Jan. 21, 2012 post on Senn’s article in that same journal), a RMM journal editor Max Albert responds:

Max Albert Says: January22, 2012 at 4:08 pm

Dear xi’an,

I am a bit surprised that you consider “Rationality, markets and morals” as a “rather weird combination”. It is a classical combination of topics in economics and philosophy. And it seems to me that just now all the world is talking and writing about it. Continue reading

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Mixed Feelings Page: Overheard on the Blogosphere….

female philosopher of science

A reader sends me a discussion post from a website Butterflies and Wheels:Fighting Fashionable Nonsense

Luna the Cat says (Oct 22, 2011):

        I never had much time for philosophy, personally, until I got interested in the question of how do we know what we know, and the philosophy of science; and when I started looking more into that, I stumbled across Deborah Mayo, http://www.phil.vt.edu/dmayo/dmayo.html. I was blown away at the rigorous logic of her thinking, and I have to admit to learning a great deal from reading her work.
        The thing that pisses me off is, nobody outside a very narrow field seems to know who she is, and I almost never see her name in discussions of the modern forms of philosophy of science, even when the discussion is all about the limits of falsification and Duhem’s problems, areas where her work is squarely situated. And when I have discussions with the occasional person who is interested in this kind of thing, I often get a reaction of “really? I’ve never heard of her; a woman, eh?”
And I cannot believe this is because of the quality of her work. Read some of it, judge for yourself. http://www.phil.vt.edu/dmayo/personal_website/bibliography%20complete.htm
        I’m so disheartened about the fact that sexism seems to be getting worse. I hate to say it, but I think JennieL might be right, there has been a kind of male backlash where some who don’t think women have any business intruding into such a serious field have gathered and made an immovable and hostile cohort. But that’s just so damned backwards.



Dear Luna the Cat: Get in touch!  I’ll send you a copy of my new book!: error@vt.edu

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METABLOG QUERY

Can anybody advise about the relative merits of WordPress versus Google blogspot for blogging?  The Elbians worked to transfer this entire blog to WordPress which I take it is superior and might avoid a lot of the out-of-control fonts on this blog, but whenever I go over to that blog I have misgivings because, among other things, it’s always asking me to pay to avoid annoyances like ads, which never even came up as an issue on blogspot.  Moreover, as soon as I paid for one upgrade (just to explore it), 6 other choices of things to buy came up which made me very nervous, since it might mean having to understand what in the world they are selling (and I don’t).  So I just ran away.  The decision about switching remains in limbo.  It’s not paying that I mind in the least, it’s being confronted with a lot of confusing decisions that I’m worried about. I haven’t paid for anything on blogspot, and the informality is appealing, perhaps because it makes the whole thing less official, and lets me feel that I am free to escape from all this at any time.  I’d be grateful for advice and recommendations; I can’t ask the blogsfolk to keep up the shadow blog indefinitely, while I decide.  Maybe there’s yet a third blogging platform….

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